BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Estherville-Lincoln Central

Class: 2A Class Rank: 28 Conference: 2A-2 Record: (11-20-0) Overall: (35-58-0) Overall Strength =   73.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Home    L    71.76   2  21   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                -1.67    -17.33                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    L    60.60  15  41   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -12.84    -13.16                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    W *  85.46  14   7   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 12.02     -5.02                      
  4 09/09/2011 Away    L    47.82  14  44   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -25.62     -4.38                      
  5 09/16/2011 Home    L    55.05   0  35   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  -18.39    -16.61                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    54.01  28  41   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -19.43      6.43                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L *  66.34   7  41   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            -7.10    -26.90                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    L    70.07  17  34   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           -3.37    -13.63                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L    50.56   7  42   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian     -22.88    -12.12                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    L    43.45  13  20    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union           -29.99     22.99                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    L *  53.00  13  42   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -20.44     -8.56                      
 12 09/07/2012 Home    W    87.34  42  22   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac     13.90      6.10                      
 13 09/14/2012 Home    L    60.48  26  40   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -12.96     -1.04                      
 14 09/21/2012 Away    L    86.93   7  13   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     13.49    -19.49                      
 15 09/28/2012 Away    L    74.59  23  42   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    1.15    -20.15                      
 16 10/05/2012 Home    L    30.03   0  41   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City           -43.41      2.41                      
 17 10/12/2012 Home    L *  60.64  20  41   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV            -12.80     -8.20                      
 18 10/19/2012 Away    L *  72.88  21  52   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            -0.56    -30.44                      
 19 08/30/2013 Away    W    64.99  39  28    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -8.45     19.45  ND                  
 20 09/06/2013 Home    L *  53.46   6  31   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -19.98     -5.02  ND                  
 21 09/13/2013 Away    W    85.88  27  12   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac     12.44      2.56                      
 22 09/20/2013 Away    L    52.02  25  51   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -21.42     -4.58                      
 23 09/27/2013 Home    L    64.39   6  31   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     -9.05    -15.95                      
 24 10/04/2013 Home    L    43.05   0  47   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  -30.39    -16.61  ND                  
 25 10/11/2013 Away    L    73.58  13  14   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City             0.14     -1.14                      
 26 10/18/2013 Away    L *  63.18   8  30   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV            -10.26    -11.74                      
 27 10/25/2013 Home    L *  79.34  26  47   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake             5.90    -26.90                      
 28 08/29/2014 Away    L *  88.88  25  40   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            15.44    -30.44                      
 29 09/05/2014 Home    W *  84.46  14   8   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 11.02     -5.02                      
 30 09/12/2014 Home    L    47.33  14  28   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold  -26.11     12.11                      
 31 09/19/2014 Away    L    70.09  27  54   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -3.35    -23.65                      
 32 09/26/2014 Home    W    97.03  29   3   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            23.59      2.41                      
 33 10/03/2014 Away    L    71.22   7  14   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont         -2.22     -4.78                      
 34 10/10/2014 Home    W * 115.64  55  21   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             42.20     -8.20                      
 35 10/17/2014 Away    W    90.14  53  39   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  16.70     -2.70                      
 36 10/24/2014 Home    W   101.45  63  12    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            28.01     22.99                      
 37 10/29/2014 Away    L    62.09   7  42   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake            -11.35    -23.65                      
 38 08/28/2015 Home    L *  69.34  18  49   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            -4.10    -26.90  ND                  
 39 09/04/2015 Away    L *  60.00  18  40   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -13.44     -8.56  ND                  
 40 09/11/2015 Away    W    83.85  46  30   ZZ  32 (  7- 20-  0) Clarion-Goldfield-Do   10.42      5.58                      
 41 09/18/2015 Home    L    65.55   7  35   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -7.89    -20.11                      
 42 09/25/2015 Away    L    73.58   6   7   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City             0.14     -1.14                      
 43 10/02/2015 Home    L    61.68   7  20   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -11.76     -1.24                      
 44 10/09/2015 Away    L *  58.18  14  41   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV            -15.26    -11.74                      
 45 10/16/2015 Home    W    84.60  39  27   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  11.16      0.84                      
 46 10/23/2015 Away    W    93.99  48   8    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            20.55     19.45  ND                  
 47 10/28/2015 Away    W    89.62  25  14   1A  23 ( 44- 25-  0) Southeast Valley       16.18     -5.18                      
 48 11/02/2015 Away    L *  74.88  20  49   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake             1.44    -30.44                      
 49 08/26/2016 Home    L *  88.34  21  33   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            14.90    -26.90  ND                  
 50 09/02/2016 Away    W   104.60  39  21   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             31.16    -13.16  ND                  
 51 09/09/2016 Home    L    74.20   7  34   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley    0.76    -27.76                      
 52 09/16/2016 Home    L    80.05  26  36   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    6.61    -16.61                      
 53 09/23/2016 Away    L    66.07  14  35   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center           -7.37    -13.63                      
 54 09/30/2016 Home    W    82.28  41  33   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                 8.84     -0.84                      
 55 10/07/2016 Away    W    90.78  48  26   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area        17.34      4.66                      
 56 10/14/2016 Home    W *  56.02  20  18   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington   -17.42     19.42                      
 57 10/21/2016 Away    W    95.49  36  14   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       22.05     -0.05                      
 58 08/25/2017 Away    L *  86.88  12  29   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            13.44    -30.44  ND                  
 59 09/01/2017 Home    W    89.05  35  29   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             15.62     -9.62  ND                  
 60 09/08/2017 Away    L    62.75   7  49   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  -10.69    -31.31                      
 61 09/15/2017 Away    L    72.59  21  42   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   -0.85    -20.15                      
 62 09/22/2017 Home    L    79.53  16  20   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center            6.09    -10.09                      
 63 09/29/2017 Away    L    43.82  13  47   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -29.62     -4.38                      
 64 10/06/2017 Home    W    82.24  24   7   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         8.80      8.20                      
 65 10/13/2017 Away    W *  81.56  30   6   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington     8.12     15.88                      
 66 10/20/2017 Home    L    41.95  14  42   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley      -31.49      3.49                      
 67 08/24/2018 Away    W    75.58  21  20   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City             2.14     -1.14  ND                  
 68 08/31/2018 Home    W    77.20  29  20    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS             3.77      5.23  ND                  
 69 09/07/2018 Away    L    56.55   0  14   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -16.89      2.89  ND                  
 70 09/14/2018 Home    L    64.28  35  45   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                -9.16     -0.84  ND                  
 71 09/21/2018 Away    L *  61.88   0  42   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake           -11.56    -30.44                      
 72 09/28/2018 Away    L *  66.18  21  40   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             -7.26    -11.74                      
 73 10/05/2018 Home    L *  51.46  22  49   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -21.98     -5.02                      
 74 10/12/2018 Away    L    56.62   6  28   1A  23 ( 44- 25-  0) Southeast Valley      -16.82     -5.18                      
 75 10/19/2018 Home    W    74.33  45  32   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold    0.89     12.11                      
 76 08/30/2019 Home    W    85.03  26  12   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            11.59      2.41  ND                  
 77 09/06/2019 Away    L    66.75  14  19    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -6.69      1.69  ND                  
 78 09/13/2019 Home    L    59.01   0   8   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -14.43      6.43  ND                  
 79 09/20/2019 Away    W    88.82  17   6   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                15.38     -4.38  ND                  
 80 09/27/2019 Home    W * 106.34  20  14   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            32.90    -26.90                      
 81 10/04/2019 Home    L *  53.64   6  34   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV            -19.80     -8.20                      
 82 10/11/2019 Away    L *  41.00   7  48   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -32.44     -8.56                      
 83 10/18/2019 Home    L    59.08   8  24   1A  23 ( 44- 25-  0) Southeast Valley      -14.36     -1.64                      
 84 10/25/2019 Away    W    96.88  54  22   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold   23.44      8.56                      
 85 08/28/2020 Away    W   110.82  39   6   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                37.38     -4.38  ND                  
 86 09/04/2020 Home    W    98.95  35   6   2A  32 ( 31- 62-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       25.51      3.49  ND                  
 87 09/11/2020 Away    W *  99.78  46   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        26.34     19.66                      
 88 09/18/2020 Home    L *  93.34  27  34 1 2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            19.90    -26.90                      
 89 09/25/2020 Home    W *  92.64  25  14   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             19.20     -8.20                      
 90 10/09/2020 Home    W * 116.02  62   0   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington    42.58     19.42                      
 91 10/16/2020 Home    W *  85.24  42   7   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        11.80     23.20                      
 92 10/23/2020 Home    W *  94.46  36  20   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 21.02     -5.02                      
 93 10/30/2020 Away    L    71.59   6  28   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   -1.85    -20.15                      
      Averages              73.51  21.9 28.0

Best game:  116.02 = 62 point win over Cherokee Washington
Worst game:  30.03 = 41 point loss to Forest City
Team stdev:  18.28